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Archive for the ‘Climate Science’ Category

The Debate: Fracking and the Future of Energy

Posted by pfairley on December 28, 2012

France 24 Energy in 2013 DebateThe Arctic is melting faster than predicted. Is now the time to shut down the low-carbon nuclear power plants in France — the 20th Century’s staunchest proponent of nuclear energy? Is natural gas produced via hydraulic fracturing or ‘fracking’ a gift that is buying time for a transition to renewable energy or a curse that reinforces fossil fuel dependence? Will carbon belching heavyweights such as the U.S. and China ever get serious about cleaning up their energy systems?

Such questions are top order in France, whose President kicked off a Grand Débat on energy this month. The national debate launched by François Hollande, the Socialist who put Nicolas Sarkozy out of work six months ago, could well set France on a path to put nuclear power out to pasture. It could also lift France’s current moratorium on fracking.

No surprise then that France 24‘s English network dedicated one of its year-end debates to Energy in 2013. Your editor was honored to be at the table, along with:

Part One focuses on the what, why and why nots of fracking to produce shale gas and shale oil. Part Two backs out to consider the fate of nuclear and renewable energy in a ‘fracked’ world awash in cheap oil and gas.

Posted in Climate Change, Climate Science, Climate skeptics, Energy Economics & Policy, Energy Efficiency, Energy politics, Energy vision, Environmental Journalism, Media, Natural gas, Nuclear Power, Nuclear safety, Renewable Energy, Shale gas, Solar energy, Wind power | Tagged: , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Rendering Greenhouse Gases Visible

Posted by pfairley on October 18, 2012

Natural gas has no odor, but you can smell a leak thanks to the addition of an odorific mercaptam compound. Do carbon dioxide and other similarly odorless greenhouse gases (GHGs) require some analogous device to make their presence known and thus prompt evasive action? Yes, and for these ubiquitous gases, it will be a visual cue indicating the source and quantity of GHGs.

Consider the software unveiled this month by researchers at Arizona State University, which estimates GHG emissions in cities at the level of individual road segments and buildings. According to their report in the journal Environmental Science and Technology, the system mines public databases for broader statistics on energy use, local air pollution and traffic flows, then feeds those to traffic simulators and a building-by-building energy-consumption models. The result is high-resolution maps that present GHG emissions in a format that’s both useful to policymakers  and comprehensible to the public.

“Cities have had little information with which to guide reductions in greenhouse gas emissions – and you can’t reduce what you can’t measure,” says Kevin Gurney, a senior scientist with ASU’s Global Institute of Sustainability. “We can provide cities with a complete, three-dimensional picture of where, when and how carbon dioxide emissions are occurring.”

So far, maps for Indianapolis are complete and work is ongoing for Los Angeles and Phoenix. Ultimately they hope to map CO2 emissions for all major cities across the United States.

ASU’s effort to pinpoint emissions is part of a broader trend that I profiled in July for Earthzine, an online Earth observation journal, earlier this year. I noted a forerunner to ASU’s software that has been operating for several years in Finland, where environmental consulting firm Benviroc’s CO2-raportti news portal presents weekly estimates of Finland’s emissions by province and, increasingly, by city.

There are also more sophisticated systems that attempt to directly observe rather than estimate localized GHG emissions. Last year, for example, researchers at the Swiss Federal Laboratories for Materials Science and Technology used ground station detection data to model how much trifluoromethane (a gas whose 100-year warming impact is 15,000-times greater than that of CO2) were being released from each country in Western Europe. Their findings differed substantially from the emissions levels reported to the UN by several countries; Italy’s reports appear to be 10 times too low, likely due to undeclared emissions from  a refrigerants factory near Milan.

Such top-down reporting thus does more than simply raise consciousness about sources and causes of GHGs. It provides an independent means of verifying GHG emissions, something that could be critical to reignite diplomatic efforts to control and ultimate drive down GHGs. As ASU’s Gurney puts it: “These results may also help overcome current barriers to the United States joining an international climate change treaty.”

This post was created for Energywise, IEEE Spectrum’s blog on green power, cars and climate

Posted in Climate Change, Earth observation, Emissions, Renewable Energy | Tagged: , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Applying ‘Trust, but verify’ to Climate Change Policy

Posted by pfairley on July 19, 2012

Last year Swiss researchers demonstrated that European countries release more of the potent greenhouse gas trifluoromethane than they report. It was just the latest in a growing number of case studies showing that polluters and governments might be under-estimating their climate change impact, but it served to highlight the science and technology that can reveal such cheating Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Climate Change, Climate Communication, Climate Science, Earth observation, Emissions | Tagged: , , | Leave a Comment »

A Mighty Extreme Wind for Offshore Turbines

Posted by pfairley on March 24, 2011

In January we reported that winds across the Northern continents were losing some of their punch, and that climate change threatened to weaken them further — altogether bad news for wind power. In stark contrast, Australian researchers report today in the journal Science that gusts are accelerating over Earth’s oceans.

Unfortunately the trend offers offshore wind power a mixed bag: stronger but also more dangerous winds. “Mean wind conditions over the oceans have only marginally increased over the last 20 years. It is the extreme conditions where there has been a larger increase,” says Ian Young, vice chancellor at the Australian National University in Canberra and principal author of today’s report. Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Climate Change, Climate Science, Earth observation, Renewable Energy, Wind power | Tagged: , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

The Case of the Climate-Challenged Hare

Posted by pfairley on October 21, 2010

Posted in Climate Change, Climate Science, Earth observation | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

 
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